![]() Population growth in most of Asia will decline quickly, and after 2040, the population will begin to contract. SLOWING POPULATION GROWTH, AGING POPULATIONSĭuring the next 20 years, the world’s population will continue to increase every year, adding approximately 1.4 billion people to reach an estimated 9.2 billion by 2040, but the rate of population growth will slow in all regions. (TRENDS IN DEMOGRAPHICS 2000-2020, 2020-2040 - Click image to enlarge)Īs birth rates remain low and the median age rises, most developed and many emerging economies will see their populations peak and then start to shrink by 2040. These demographic and human development trends will put pressure on governments to increase public investment and control immigration, potentially fuel instability in some countries, contribute to a rising Asia, and add to the agenda of already strained international development institutions.Conflict and climate disruptions will compound these broader migration trends. During the next two decades, demographic shifts and economic incentives are likely to increase pressure for migration out of developing countries, mostly from Sub-Saharan Africa, and primarily into aging, developed countries.Relatively poor countries in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia will account for almost all global population growth during the next two decades and will be rapidly urbanizing at the same time, most likely overwhelming their capacity to provide the infrastructure and education systems necessary to fully harness their economic growth potential. ![]()
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